Nvidia is 7% of the S&P 500. Earnings hit Wednesday. May 11 flow already told us where the big money is sitting. Here’s the setup, the levels, and what to actually watch.
Category Archives: Daily Briefing
Weekend Rundown: SPX 7,126, VIX Cheap, Hormuz Whipsaw
SPX prints a fresh all-time high at 7,126 with VIX still cheap, Hormuz still whippy, and Nvidia earnings landing this week. Quick recap and what’s on the radar.
Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals
Bitcoin holds a tight range near $80K, but funding, open interest and macro headline risk are shifting. Here’s what to watch next across crypto.
Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals
Bitcoin holds a tight range near $80K, but funding, open interest and macro headline risk are shifting. Here’s what to watch next across crypto.
UOA Flow Lit Up Before Warsh Took the Fed Helm
The May 11 options tape was loud — 599K SPY 739 calls, QQQ stacks, mega-cap concentration. Then Warsh got confirmed. Here’s what the flow says about positioning into the June 16–17 meeting.
Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, New Highs
Weekend market rundown on oil headlines, the VIX term structure staying calm, and what to watch as the S&P 500 digests fresh highs with geopolitics back.
TWLO Earnings Pop: AI Voice Demand Lights Up Options Tape
Twilio ripped 20% on a Q1 beat, FY26 raise, and unprecedented voice AI demand. Here’s what the options flow was telling us — and the levels that matter into Friday.
Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, and New Highs
Weekend rundown: Hormuz headlines jerked crude, VIX stayed oddly calm, and the S&P 500 held record highs. Key charts, levels, and what to watch next.
OVX at 70, VIX at 18: One Vol Index Is Awake
Oil volatility (OVX) at 70.50. Equity volatility (VIX) at 18.15. The 3.9x ratio is the widest since 2020 — and history says it doesn’t stay this wide for long.
SHOP: The $162M Bet Hiding in Plain Sight
A $162 million covered call roll on Shopify says institutional money is positioned for more upside into Q1 earnings on May 5. SHOP holds green while markets sell off on Iran Hormuz.
