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Category Archives: Daily Briefing

Nvidia or Nothing: One Stock, One Print, One Market

Nvidia is 7% of the S&P 500. Earnings hit Wednesday. May 11 flow already told us where the big money is sitting. Here’s the setup, the levels, and what to actually watch.

Posted byJonathanMay 18, 2026May 19, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Nvidia or Nothing: One Stock, One Print, One Market

Weekend Rundown: SPX 7,126, VIX Cheap, Hormuz Whipsaw

SPX prints a fresh all-time high at 7,126 with VIX still cheap, Hormuz still whippy, and Nvidia earnings landing this week. Quick recap and what’s on the radar.

Posted byJonathanMay 17, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Weekend Rundown: SPX 7,126, VIX Cheap, Hormuz Whipsaw

Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals

Bitcoin holds a tight range near $80K, but funding, open interest and macro headline risk are shifting. Here’s what to watch next across crypto.

Posted byJonathanMay 16, 2026May 16, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals

Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals

Bitcoin holds a tight range near $80K, but funding, open interest and macro headline risk are shifting. Here’s what to watch next across crypto.

Posted byJonathanMay 16, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Bitcoin Range, Loud Derivatives Signals

UOA Flow Lit Up Before Warsh Took the Fed Helm

The May 11 options tape was loud — 599K SPY 739 calls, QQQ stacks, mega-cap concentration. Then Warsh got confirmed. Here’s what the flow says about positioning into the June 16–17 meeting.

Posted byJonathanMay 15, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on UOA Flow Lit Up Before Warsh Took the Fed Helm

Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, New Highs

Weekend market rundown on oil headlines, the VIX term structure staying calm, and what to watch as the S&P 500 digests fresh highs with geopolitics back.

Posted byJonathanMay 10, 2026May 10, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, New Highs

TWLO Earnings Pop: AI Voice Demand Lights Up Options Tape

Twilio ripped 20% on a Q1 beat, FY26 raise, and unprecedented voice AI demand. Here’s what the options flow was telling us — and the levels that matter into Friday.

Posted byJonathanMay 4, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on TWLO Earnings Pop: AI Voice Demand Lights Up Options Tape

Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, and New Highs

Weekend rundown: Hormuz headlines jerked crude, VIX stayed oddly calm, and the S&P 500 held record highs. Key charts, levels, and what to watch next.

Posted byJonathanMay 3, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on Weekend Market Rundown: Oil, VIX, and New Highs

OVX at 70, VIX at 18: One Vol Index Is Awake

Oil volatility (OVX) at 70.50. Equity volatility (VIX) at 18.15. The 3.9x ratio is the widest since 2020 — and history says it doesn’t stay this wide for long.

Posted byJonathanApril 29, 2026May 2, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on OVX at 70, VIX at 18: One Vol Index Is Awake

SHOP: The $162M Bet Hiding in Plain Sight

A $162 million covered call roll on Shopify says institutional money is positioned for more upside into Q1 earnings on May 5. SHOP holds green while markets sell off on Iran Hormuz.

Posted byJonathanApril 20, 2026April 20, 2026Posted inDaily BriefingLeave a comment on SHOP: The $162M Bet Hiding in Plain Sight

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