Category Archives: Daily Briefing

S&P 500 hit all-time high 7,126 with a 4.5% weekly gain. Then Iran re-closed the Strait of Hormuz Saturday. Here’s what matters heading into Monday.

The 2-year yield at 3.77% tells the 2026 story: banks thrive on high NII while rate cuts vanish. JPM profit up 13%, BAC up 17%. Here’s what the chart says next.

WTI crude hit $105 intraday as Saudi attacks disrupted supply. XLE options show a 1.42 put-call ratio — heavy hedging despite the rally. Rate cuts priced out for all of 2026.

A quick weekend recap: ceasefire headlines hit crude, VIX finally eased, and rates stayed on guard. Here’s what to watch into Monday open.

Bitcoin rallied from $67K to $73K as ETF inflows hit $471M and funding spiked 300%. Strategy bought 4,871 BTC. Marathon sold 15,133. Two playbooks, one price.

VIX collapsed 25% this week to 19.21 while SPX skew hit the 99th percentile. HSBC at 123x call volume, RIO at 65x, CME at 47x. The fear gauge dropped — the smart money didn’t blink.

VIX collapsed 16% in one session as the vol term structure normalized from backwardation to contango. Here’s what the curve was signaling — and what’s still priced in heading into GDP and CPI week.

Over $120M in fresh call premium hit MU, TSM, and NVDA in a single session. Micron saw a $65.2M June $400 call bet (85% at-ask). TSM drew $55M in calls with hedge funds piling in. SMH up 9% YTD. The smart money is betting big on chips.

S&P 500 snaps 5-week losing streak with 3.36% gain to 6,582. Breadth improved massively, VIX pulled back from 30. But Israel struck Iran’s largest petrochemical complex Saturday. This week’s recap plus what’s on my radar.

Bitcoin is chopping while funding and dominance hint at where the next crypto rotation could start. Here’s what traders are watching right now.