It wasn’t exactly Black Monday. But it was a selloff that caught the attention of a lot of people. I get phone calls and text messages all day on days like that. And I am going to tell you the same thing I tell them. You can filter out all of the noise, wild marketContinueContinue reading “The One Indicator to Watch as Markets Get Wound Up”
Category Archives: Strategy
Election Rally is Already Underway… Here’s Why
Last week I wasn’t buying the rally. Well, that changed over the weekend. Chad Shoop back again and this week I’m ready to buy in. Here’s why… I was in shock like I’m sure the rest of the America was. Headlines were showing up on my phone that “popping sounds” were heard at Trump’s rally.ContinueContinue reading “Election Rally is Already Underway… Here’s Why”
The Market is Giving the All Clear… Why I’m Not Buying It
Hey, Chad Shoop here. And this market has been relentlessly pushing higher. I think I have used that word. relentless, more in the past few months than I ever have in my life. But it’s the only way to describe what we are witnessing. It just doesn’t give up and, if you’ve been following along,ContinueContinue reading “The Market is Giving the All Clear… Why I’m Not Buying It”
The January Barometer: A Beacon for the Year’s Market Performance?
As we close out January, investors and traders alike turn their attention to an age-old adage: “So goes January, so goes the year.” This axiom, known as the January Barometer, means that the performance of the stock market in the first month of the year can offer a glimpse into its direction for the remainingContinueContinue reading “The January Barometer: A Beacon for the Year’s Market Performance?”
Black Swan Redux: Understanding Market Turbulence in the AI Era
2008 was a “Black Swan” event. The Dot Com bubble was a “Black Swan” event. The pandemic really was a Black Swan event, and the market only dipped about 25%. Compared to 55% and 47% during the 08 and 00 bear market. Yet, investors don’t seem to think that will happen again. I was onContinueContinue reading “Black Swan Redux: Understanding Market Turbulence in the AI Era”
Chart of the Day: Hedging Against Overconfidence
Today is about the hedge funds bearish sentiment in one chart. And it can be taken two ways. One is extremely bullish, while the other, and happens to be my preference, is not so pretty. And it all hinges on a popular investor segment that is worth watching – hedge funds. What we see isContinueContinue reading “Chart of the Day: Hedging Against Overconfidence”
The AI Stock Phenomenon: Unpacking the Next Big Market Trend
I want to kick things off by discussing the sudden hype around AI stocks. It’s turning into the next crypto where every company that adds a .ai to their domain or adds artificial intelligence to the business description sees a 10% pop. This has the potential to form a bubble of some sort, and liftContinueContinue reading “The AI Stock Phenomenon: Unpacking the Next Big Market Trend”
Fed Set for December to Remember… Just Not in a Good Way
The Fed has spoken, and it wasn’t a major event. I guess that is good news. Afterall, we don’t want them manipulating the market. But this is setting up for a December to remember. Just not in a good way for the Fed. The Fed leaving rates unchanged is still restrictive on the economy. ThisContinueContinue reading “Fed Set for December to Remember… Just Not in a Good Way”
Explosive GDP Growth isn’t Bullish… Here’s Why!
If you are betting on a recession, GPD (Gross Domestic Product) is what you are tracking. And the latest reading signaled anything but an imminent recession. That doesn’t stop me from being bearish. I’ll explain why today. Because GDP clocking in at 4.9% in the third quarter was a very strong data point. The sharpContinueContinue reading “Explosive GDP Growth isn’t Bullish… Here’s Why!”
Bank It: Gold is on the Cusp of a Breakout, Bank on this Stock
Have you followed gold lately? It’s not exactly trading how you would expect. It rose over the past couple of weeks, but it is supposed to be an inflation hedge. Gold is trading just 4% above its peak in 2011. And it is trading under its peak in 2020, 2021 and even earlier in 2023.ContinueContinue reading “Bank It: Gold is on the Cusp of a Breakout, Bank on this Stock”