Author Archives: Jonathan

SPCX hits Nasdaq today. Seven of the ten largest US IPOs of the past decade lost money in year one. Why I’m passing on day one — and what the dashboard is surfacing instead.

SpaceX prices Thursday, trades Friday on Nasdaq as SPCX at a $1.77T valuation. $75B raise — 2.5x bigger than Saudi Aramco. The biggest IPO ever, and the most retail-friendly one.

Broadcom dropped 19.6% over two sessions on the back of one of the most bullish AI prints of the year. Monday the whole AI complex roared back. The flush wasn’t fundamental.

A lighter weekend scan: dashboard signals into Monday, what front-end vol is saying, and the quick links to this week’s SEAL Alpha Team briefs.

Bitcoin sits at $60,560 down 22% on the month — yet BITX is down 46%, MSTR -35%, COIN -23%. The proxies broke faster than the asset. Here’s what that spread means.

MRVL +69%, ALAB +59%, ARM +52% on the month — then a 5-9% Friday flush. The Alpha Dashboard says smart money paid $7.3M for SPY and IWM put hedges before the wheels moved.

VIX is back to 15.77 — well below the 20-day average. But the Alpha Dashboard shows 89% sentiment, $11M in TSLA call sweeps, and a $1.4M SPY put hedge.

Crude jumped 8.3% Monday after the Hormuz weekend whipsaw, and OXY ripped 5.4% to retest $60. Why Buffett’s energy bet is the cleanest single-name torque trade.

SPX at 7,591 ATH, AMD ripped 14%, ETH/BTC at a 6-month low — and the VIX term structure is whispering. Sunday rundown of the week that was.